To evaluate the practicability of dose volume histogram (DVH) prediction model for organ at risk (OAR) of radiotherapy plan by minimizing the cost function based on equivalent uniform dose (EUD).

A total of 66 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients received volume rotational intensity modulated arc therapy (VMAT) at Cancer Hospital & Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from 2020 to 2021 were retrospectively selected for this study. Among them, 50 patients were used to train the recurrent neutral network (RNN) model and the remaining 16 cases were used to test the model. DVH prediction model was constructed based on RNN. A three-dimensional equal-weighted 9-field conformal plan was designed for each patient. For each OAR, the DVHs of individual fields were acquired as the model input, and the DVH of VMAT plan was regarded as the expected output. The prediction error obtained by minimizing EUD-based cost function was employed to train the model. The prediction accuracy was characterized by the mean and standard deviation between predicted and true values. The plan was re-optimized for the test cases based on the DVH prediction results, and the consistency and variability of the EUD and DVH parameters of interest (e.g., maximum dose for serial organs such as the spinal cord) were compared between the re-optimized plan and the original plan of OAR by the Wilcoxon paired test and box line plots.

The neural network obtained by training the cost function based on EUD was able to obtain better DVH prediction results. The new plan guided by the predicted DVH was in good agreement with the original plan: in most cases, the D_98% in the planning target volume (PTV) was greater than 95% of the prescribed dose for both plans, and there was no significant difference in the maximum dose and EUD in the brainstem, spinal cord and lens (all P>0.05). Compared with the original plan, the average reduction of optic chiasm, optic nerves and eyes in the new plans reached more than 1.56 Gy for the maximum doses and more than 1.22 Gy for EUD, and the average increment of temporal lobes reached 0.60 Gy for the maximum dose and 0.30 Gy for EUD.

The EUD-based loss function improves the accuracy of DVH prediction, ensuring appropriate dose targets for treatment plan optimization and better consistency in the plan quality.

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma; Dose volume histogram prediction; Equivalent uniform dose; Recurrent neural network